Theresa May’s crushing defeat in the House of Commons this week over her plan for Britain to leave the European Union was actually a great victory for her, provided that you make a simple assumption: that she and her colleagues never wanted Britain to leave the EU in the first place. A majority of the British legislature is, and always was, opposed to Brexit. Those legislators who agitated most vociferously for it declined, when the time came, to carry out the policy, leaving it to a woman already well known for her political maladroitness. Her appearance of negotiating with the EU was merely elaborate shadow-play. She never intended to produce the complete break that just over half the electorate — but not the political class — wanted. The present impasse will probably lead to Britain never leaving the union. Except for a hard core of about a fifth of Parliament, all the other legislators are adamantly opposed to Britain leaving the EU without a deal; and the Union, … [Read more...] about Brexit’s in trouble because Britain’s political class never wanted it
Somewhere around three weeks ago, it became impossible for mere mortals to follow Brexit anymore. Until that point a voter could, with sufficient care, understand the contours of the debate in Parliament surrounding Britain’s impending departure from the European Union. Prime Minister Theresa May’s proposed deal with Brussels could be parsed well enough to judge its merits. Alternative proposals and their political viability were measurable.... … [Read more...] about Brexiteers Face Reality—They Need the Political Class After All
By Joe Garofoli and John Wildermuth Updated 5:05 pm PDT, Tuesday, October 30, 2018 California candidates for governor, Democrat Gavin Newsom (left) and Republican John Cox. California candidates for governor, Democrat Gavin Newsom (left) and Republican John Cox. Photo: Rich Pedroncelli / Associated Press Gubernatorial candidate Gavin Newsom signs autographs in front of San Francisco City Hall Tuesday, with his campaign bus parked across the street. Gubernatorial candidate Gavin Newsom signs autographs in front of San Francisco City Hall Tuesday, with his campaign bus parked across the street. Photo: Gabrielle Lurie / The Chronicle California governor candidate John Cox listens as his opponent Gavin Newsom (not pictured) as he speaks at the Fairmont Hotel in San Francisco, California, on Tuesday, Oct. 30, 2018. California governor candidate … [Read more...] about John Cox blames ‘political class’ for a bleak California. Gavin Newsom sees a sunny side
“The world is full of obvious things which nobody by any chance ever observes.” So said Sherlock Holmes in “The Hound of the Baskervilles,” and the great detective’s observation may well apply to the upcoming midterm elections. One of the great lessons of 2016 was the failure of the political class to understand the difference between probability and possibility. On Oct. 17, 2016, Hillary Clinton had a 7-point lead over Donald Trump in the RealClearPolitics average of national polls. By the Friday before the election, Nov. 4, that advantage had slipped to 2 points. Although most politicos argued it was unlikely that Trump could win the presidency trailing Clinton going into the last weekend before the election, they forgot or chose to deny that it was still theoretically possible that voters could deliver a surprise outcome. Many are still in denial. Reading the political tea leaves three weeks out from next month’s elections … [Read more...] about The Political Class Got 2016 Wrong. Could We See a Repeat?
When a political figure is accused of wrongdoing, a conversation begins among journalists, commentators and public officials. Are the charges true? Can the accusers prove it?That’s the way it normally works. But now, in the case of the Trump dossier — the allegations compiled by a former British spy hired by the Clinton campaign to gather dirt on presidential candidate Donald Trump — the generally accepted standard of justice has been turned on its head. Now, the question is: Can the accused prove the charges false? Increasingly, the president’s critics argue that the dossier is legitimate because it has not been proven untrue.It’s an argument heard at the highest levels of government, academics and media.“Not a single revelation in the Steele dossier has been refuted,” noted Sen. Dianne Feinstein, top Democrat on the Senate Judiciary Committee, in February.In late December, Laurence Tribe, a Harvard law professor, tweeted a message about the … [Read more...] about Is ‘can’t prove untrue’ a new political standard for guilt?