But the broader question this contest may help resolve is whether presidential campaigns really matter a whole lot, as opposed to “fundamentals” like the economy and presidential-approval ratings — the meat and potatoes of many predictive models — and long-term trends like partisan affiliation and polarization. Political scientists have argued over this question for many years. And it is easy to understand that winning campaigns create their own legends and take credit for good things that might have happened even without that boiler room full of geeks or that crucial decision to send 2,000 volunteers into a battleground state to mobilize early voters. The “game change” school of political journalism, with its emphasis on the role of shrewd insiders and dramatic turning-point decisions, has also encouraged a heroic treatment of campaigns at the expense of external factors beyond their control (who, after all, wants to read a book about the decisive … [Read more...] about Clinton’s Campaign Is State-of-the-Art and Trump’s Is Chaotic. But Does That Actually Matter?
Will Barack Obama offer Hillary Clinton the job of secretary of State? Yes. He wouldn’t have brought her out to Chicago, and publicly confirmed the meeting, only to snub her. That’s a headache Obama doesn’t need and is too smart to have inflicted upon himself. Will Clinton take the Cabinet post? Probably. As diligently as she’s worked on behalf of the state, it’s a choice between pancake breakfasts in Massena and bringing peace to the Middle East. Sure, Secretary Clinton means former president Clinton will have to shut down his international consulting business, at least temporarily. But that’s a fairly minor loss for the good of the country, right? … [Read more...] about Chris Smith on Hillary, Paterson, and Who’s Next
The Daily Beast contacted 10 top national pro-women organizations for this story, including Emily’s List, Planned Parenthood Action Fund, NARAL Pro-Choice America, and the National Organization for Women. Most organizations did not respond to a detailed request for comment about the allegation by Tara Reade, a former staff assistant in Biden’s Senate office who has accused the former vice president of forcibly penetrating her with his fingers in the early 1990s. Others replied and did not provide a statement. … [Read more...] about Why Have Women’s Groups Gone Dead Silent on Biden Sex-Assault Accusation?
The new poll found support for two California Democrats said to be on Biden’s list of potential running mates, Sen. Kamala HarrisKamala Devi HarrisCuba spells trouble for Bass's VP hopes Biden should pick the best person for the job — not the best woman Trump adviser Jason Miller: Biden running mate pick 'his political living will' MORE and Rep. Karen BassKaren Ruth BassCuba spells trouble for Bass's VP hopes Trump adviser Jason Miller: Biden running mate pick 'his political living will' The Hill's Morning Report - Presented by the Air Line Pilots Association - Biden VP possible next week; Meadows says relief talks 'miles apart' MORE. Democratic voters approved Harris, 68 to 20 percent, with 12 percent expressing no opinion, according to the Times. For Bass, Democrats voters expressed support 46 to 10 percent, with 44 percent expressing no opinion. … [Read more...] about Biden leads Trump by nearly 40 points in California: poll
Elton John will not be playing at Donald TrumpDonald John TrumpWhite House sued over lack of sign language interpreters at coronavirus briefings Wife blames Trump, lack of masks for husband's coronavirus death in obit: 'May Karma find you all' Trump authorizes reduced funding for National Guard coronavirus response through 2020 MORE's inauguration, a representative for the singer-songwriter said Wednesday, despite claims from an adviser to the president-elect. … [Read more...] about Elton John not playing at Trump’s inauguration: rep