Model run after run, there has been remarkable agreement on the likely severity of the coming high wind outbreak which will develop during Sunday into Sunday night. With that in mind, the National Weather Service's Buffalo office elevated what had been a high wind watch to a high wind warning early on Friday. With average wind speeds increasing to 30-40 mph later Sunday morning behind a strong cold front, and some peak gusts approaching 70-75 mph, widespread damage and many power outages can be expected. The duration of the powerful winds will be lengthy, possibly exceeding 12 hours, and that stress on trees and vulnerable property adds to the threat. Analogs of past very similar and relatively rare events have been examined. Basically, meteorologists can look back at what occurred the last time a low pressure storm system of similar intensity followed the path most similar to the modeled path for this low. This model output is in good agreement with other models for the surface map … [Read more...] about Don Paul: There’s high confidence on damaging winds
If you have not seen the blown call in the New Orleans-LA Championship game, you have been living under a rock. Essentially, New Orleans lost its chance to be in the Superbowl because of an egregious failure to call pass interference on the LA two-yard line. The game was tied and it would have been first and goal at the two—game over. New Orleans has itself to blame. It should never have done what it did. The game was tied, and New Orleans had the ball 1st and ten from LA 12 yard line. LA had one time out and there was 1:58 left on the clock. RUN THE DAMN BALL. New Orleans got cute just as Seattle did a few years ago in the Super Bowl and handed the Patriots a Super Bowl victory that they did not deserve. Seattle could have easily run the ball in or at least taken two shots at it, but they went for the pass. And the pass was over the middle which is loaded with defensive backs in a small area. One of the worst coaching decisions ever … [Read more...] about The blown call
After hearing reports of gunfire and injuries at the Henry Pratt Co. facility in Aurora last Friday, the first police officers to arrive at the scene rushed right into the building, guns drawn in search of a shooter. No waiting for a negotiator. No holding back until a SWAT team arrived. Not even pausing for more backup to get on the scene. It was incredibly brave and dangerous -- the five officers who suffered gunshot wounds at the scene can attest to that.And it's exactly how police are trained to respond to active shooter events these days."Every time an officer was hit, another went in. No one retreated," Aurora Police Chief Kristen Ziman said in a social media post earlier this week.In the days since last week's tragedy that left five civilians dead and six officers hurt, we wondered whether the officers' actions were spurred by sheer courage, training or both. And whether the sharp criticism police in Broward County, Florida, received last year for not quickly engaging the … [Read more...] about Aurora police response strategy — go right in, right away — goes back to Columbine
Among matters soon to be contemplated by lawmakers in Tallahassee — red light cameras, motorized scooters, arming teachers and whether cities should be allowed to regulate backyard vegetable gardens, and no I did not make that up — is a proposal that we should apologize.Florida's infamous Johns Committee, so-named for its first chairman Sen. Charley Johns, is a dark and McCarthy-esque piece of our history. Convened in 1956 with the broad purpose of ferreting out subversive activity, the Johns Committee unsuccessfully tried to prove communist links to the NAACP. Then it went after suspected gay professors and students in our state university system, the theory being that, politics or sexual orientation, deviance was deviance.In fact, our own University of South Florida was deemed a haven for "sexual deviants." At least five faculty members were ousted, and more than a dozen at the University of Florida. (Investigators even surveilled the men's room at the Alachua County … [Read more...] about Carlton: The Johns Committee was wrong. So say it.
The Oscars are in trouble. Big trouble. They're by no means dead yet but they're not in the pink of health at the moment either. If it turns out that the show on Sunday gets record low ratings and elicits equally record-setting disdain from critics, don't be surprised. Things have been trending downward for months. The latest preliminary curlicue in what will surely be, at the very least, a very weird edition of the grandfather of all American award shows was the thankfully brief plan to present some of the primal Oscars--including cinematography and editing--during commercials and not on the air. The idea behind that idiocy was "who the devil cares? People watch for the glamour and the snark and the accidents they can rehash over the water cooler in the morning." (Call Warren Beatty and Faye Dunaway. There are always major awards that can be given to the wrong people for a good jolt on live TV.) Cinematography? Editing? Who gives a fig? The answer to that, it turned out, was almost … [Read more...] about Jeff Simon: Woe are the Oscars in 2019