President Biden Joe Biden Tulane adds Hunter Biden as guest speaker on media polarization Trump discussing resumption of MAGA rallies: report Biden’s unavoidable foreign policy crisis MORE , with an ambitious agenda of domestic initiatives, will be sidetracked at some stage this year by a foreign policy crisis.
Although not my expertise, I write this with confidence: There almost always is.
It might be North Korea, China, Iran, Russia or someplace most have never heard of. It may be a provocation to test a new president, or it may be an unforeseeable incident or action unrelated to diplomatic politics. It could be ephemeral or enduring.
The most striking example is the terrorist attacks on 9/11 which transformed the George W. Bush presidency. So did the ill-fated Bay of Pigs invasion of Cuba affect the Kennedy administration.
The last two Democratic presidents, Bill Clinton William (Bill) Jefferson Clinton Biden’s ‘trickle-up’ economics is just what America needs Montana governor signs bill allowing residents to challenge regulations on religious grounds The Hill’s 12:30 Report – Presented by Facebook – Tensions rise as U.S. waits for Derek Chauvin verdict MORE and Barack Obama Barack Hussein Obama The Biden-Putin summit: Do the risks outweigh the potential rewards? Interior, Haaland reverses Trump effort on tribal land Veterans crucial for climate action MORE , came to office with a laser focus on domestic priorities, but were affected by foreign policy incidents their first year.
For Clinton it was Black Hawk Down: 18 Americans killed in Mogadishu, one dead soldier dragged through the streets . It conveyed an image of a weak, feckless president, which took a while to counter.
Obama, who had run against Bush’s Iraq War, bowed to pressure from the generals and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton Hillary Diane Rodham Clinton Democrats seek to keep spotlight on Capitol siege French-American Foundation selects new president with fundraising background Pelosi on power in DC: ‘You have to seize it’ MORE and ramped up the American military presence in Afghanistan . Only now is Biden ending the U.S. involvement.
North Korea dictator Kim Jong-un Kim Jong Un China’s people need the truth — America should help them get it South Korean leader pushes Biden to restart nuclear talks with North, knocks Trump Exclusive: GOP senators seek FBI investigation into Biden Pentagon nominee MORE , plagued with even more problems at home than usual , may do something provocative, flexing his nuclear muscles. But here Biden is well served by the Trump policy of a dialogue with Pyongyang.
North Korea is not going to dismantle its nuclear weapons. There are, however, constructive interim steps — allowing inspectors in, closing some facilities, ratifying a peace treaty to the long-ago Korean war in return for lifting some economic sanctions — to avoid confrontation. China has to be involved.
Nothing will be easy with the world’s other super power.
Xi Jinping ‘s brutal repression of the Uyghurs and the people of Hong Kong and elsewhere won’t change. Trade and financial-economic relations will remain strained.
The greatest danger is Taiwan.
Biden this month sent a politically connected trio — his close friend and former colleague, Chris Dodd, and two high ranking former foreign policy officials, a Republican and a Democrat — to reassure the Taiwanese. Xi’s not going to send an invading force across the South China Sea — but if tensions escalate, he could try to strangle Taiwan, seizing a few islands, interfering with sea and air traffic and waging cyberwar.
A tightrope diplomacy is to persuade both Beijing and Taipei to maintain that ambiguous policy of one country, two systems.
"We need to confront, compete and cooperate when you can with China," veteran diplomat Frank Wisner told me. He knows that’s a delicate dance.
The Middle East always is a potential tinderbox. Biden is trying to mitigate one danger by returning to the Iranian nuclear deal. The negotiations are complicated by a massive mistrust on both sides. While pessimism usually reigns in the Mideast, there are small glimmerings of optimism. The two main Muslim protagonists, Iran and Saudi Arabia, are talking ; Tehran badly wants to escape crippling sanctions.
If, as many expect, the hard liners win the Iranian elections in June and Israel’s Benjamin Netanyahu Benjamin (Bibi) Netanyahu MORE survives both his electoral and indictment challenges, that’s not a recipe for resolution. But Iran’s desire to have the sanctions lifted — and Netanyahu no longer being able to count on Trump’s knee-jerk support for anything he did — may change the dynamics.
It’s a unanimous view that that Vladimir Putin Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin Stand and deliver — President Biden’s maiden address to Congress The Biden-Putin summit: Do the risks outweigh the potential rewards? The Hill’s Morning Report – Census winners and losers; House GOP huddles MORE is a KGB thug and Russian interference in the American elections and cyberwar attacks will be countered. The Russian dictator pulled back from his recent threat to Ukraine, having delivered the message that he can be a menace in the region. No one wants the resumed cold war to get hot.
On balance, all these possible crises are more likely to be avoided; however, there’s always the danger of a miscalculation — or a Mogadishu.
Biden has spent more than four decades focusing on foreign policy; he’s knowledgeable and prepared. He has assembled a good team, most of whom have worked together. This is in contrast to the ad hoc, impulsive, and often ignorant days of Donald Trump Donald Trump Former NY attorney general Schneiderman loses law license for a year over abuse ‘Biden boom’ extends to stock market surge in first 100 days OVERNIGHT ENERGY: Haaland reverses Trump effort on tribal land | Senate confirms Janet McCabe as deputy EPA chief | Study finds quick action on methane could significantly cut into global warming MORE .
That gives confidence that any crisis will be handled capably.
A caution: It was the best and brightest that got us into Vietnam.
Twenty years ago, Vice President Dick Cheney and Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld supposedly were the wise men of Republican national security. They led us into Iraq and Afghanistan.
Al Hunt is the former executive editor of Bloomberg News. He previously served as reporter, bureau chief and Washington editor for the Wall Street Journal. For almost a quarter century he wrote a column on politics for The Wall Street Journal, then The International New York Times and Bloomberg View. He hosts Politics War Room with James Carville. Follow him on Twitter @AlHuntDC .
- In Syria, Trump Distills a Foreign Policy of Impulse, and Faces the Fallout
- Ex-U.S. foreign policy advisor says Russia's attack on Ukrainian boats was 'pre-planned ambush'
- Debate over migrant ‘caravan’ ignores the real problem: Decades of destabilizing US foreign policy
- The response to the crisis in Yemen shows the hypocrisy at the heart of Western foreign policy
- George H.W. Bush: America’s last foreign policy president
- MP: Armenia again suffers defeat in foreign policy
- Ascension: How Lockheed Martin Gained Influence in American Foreign Policy
- Asked about Bidens, China says doesn't intend intervening in U.S. affairs
- 'Buckle up': Abrupt Syria policy shift is sign of Trump unchained
- Biden would withhold foreign aid to countries that discriminate against LGBTQ people
- Biden says he would withhold foreign aid if countries discriminate against LGBTQ people
- Tiptoeing Around Hunter Biden
- By normalizing foreign election interference, Trump makes a mockery of 'America First'
- Opinion: By normalizing foreign election interference, Trump makes a mockery of 'America First'
- China, asked about Bidens, says it has no intention to intervene in US affairs
- China says it doesn’t intend on intervening in U.S. affairs when asked about Bidens
- Giuliani associates charged with funneling foreign cash to pro-Trump group
- Joe Biden says silence in the face of white supremacy 'is complicity' during fiery speech against Trump
- Opinion: Joe Biden is a hypocrite on Ukraine
- Biden on Trump: 'He should be impeached'
|U.S. Foreign Policy in the Middle East (Arabic Edition) (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|China's Futures: PRC Elites Debate Economics, Politics, and Foreign Policy (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|The Irony of Manifest Destiny: The Tragedy of America's Foreign Policy (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Harry Hopkins: FDR's Envoy to Churchill and Stalin (Biographies in American Foreign Policy) (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|The Israel Lobby and U.S. Foreign Policy (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Dangerous Nation: America's Foreign Policy from Its Earliest Days to the Dawn of the Twentieth Century (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|America's Deadliest Export: Democracy - The Truth about US Foreign Policy and Everything Else (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Independence without Freedom: Iran's Foreign Policy (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Empire, Racism and Genocide: A History of U.S. Foreign Policy (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Japan's Reluctant Realism: Foreign Policy Challenges in an Era of Uncertain Power (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|The Samson Option: Israel's Nuclear Arsenal and American Foreign Policy (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|A Concise History of U.S. Foreign Policy (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Intelligence and U.S. Foreign Policy: Iraq, 9/11, and Misguided Reform (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Kennedy's Kitchen Cabinet and the Pursuit of Peace: The Shaping of American Foreign Policy, 1961-1963 (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Foreign Policy Begins at Home: The Case for Putting America's House in Order (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|The Crisis of American Foreign Policy: Wilsonianism in the Twenty-first Century (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|US Foreign Policy and the Iran Hostage Crisis (Cambridge Studies in International Relations) (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Basic Rights: Subsistence, Affluence, and U.S. Foreign Policy (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Crossing the Rubicon: The Shaping of India's New Foreign Policy (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Essentials of U.S. Foreign Policy Making (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Crisis: The Anatomy of Two Major Foreign Policy Crises (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|George Ball: Behind the Scenes in U.S. Foreign Policy (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|From the Congo to Soweto: U. S. Foreign Policy Toward Africa Since 1960 (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Empire of Ideas: The Origins of Public Diplomacy and the Transformation of U. S. Foreign Policy (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|US Arms Policies Towards the Shah's Iran (Routledge Studies in US Foreign Policy) (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|America's Foreign Policy Toolkit: Key Institutions and Processes (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|The American Way of Strategy: U.S. Foreign Policy and the American Way of Life (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|U.S. Foreign Policy: The Paradox Of World Power (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|U.S. Foreign Policy (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Hitler's Second Book: German Foreign Policy (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|The President Makers: How Billionaires Control U.S. and Foreign Policy (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Towards a New Cold War: U.S. Foreign Policy from Vietnam to Reagan (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Russia's Foreign Policy: Change and Continuity in National Identity (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Ideology and U.S. Foreign Policy (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|The Reagan Paradox: U.S. Foreign Policy in the 1980s (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Samson Option: Israel's Nuclear Arsenal & American Foreign Policy (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Gulliver's Troubles, or the Setting of American Foreign Foreign Policy (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Undeclared War and the Future of U.S. Foreign Policy (Woodrow Wilson Center Press) (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Explaining Foreign Policy: U.S. Decision-Making in the Gulf Wars (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|The Politics of Cocaine: How U.S. Foreign Policy Has Created a Thriving Drug Industry in Central and South America (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Navigating the Post-Cold War World: President Clinton's Foreign Policy Rhetoric (Lexington Studies in Political Communication) (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|3D Deceit, Duplicity & Dissimulation of U.S. Foreign Policy Towards India, Pakistan & Afghanistan (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|War, Empire, and the Military: Essays on the Follies of War and U.S. Foreign Policy (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Emperor of Liberty: Thomas Jeffersons Foreign Policy (The Lewis Walpole Series in Eighteenth-Century Culture and History) (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Barack Obama's Post-American Foreign Policy: The Limits of Engagement (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|U. S. Foreign Policy : Shield of the Republic (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Web Of Deceit: Britain's Real Foreign Policy: Britain's Real Role in the World (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Energy Security: Europe's New Foreign Policy Challenge (Routledge Advances in European Politics) (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Broken Covenant: American Foreign Policy and the Crisis Between the U.S. and Israel (check at Amazon)||0.0|
|Diplomacy and Crisis Management in the Balkans: A U.S. Foreign Policy Perspective (check at Amazon)||0.0|
Biden's unavoidable foreign policy crisis have 2057 words, post on thehill.com at April 28, 2021. This is cached page on USA Breaking News. If you want remove this page, please contact us.